Dibba Al Hisn 0-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 4 Apr 2025

Dibba Al Hisn
0-1 HT 0-0
Khorfakkan
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2024/2025

Dibba Al Hisn vs Khorfakkan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.57
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dibba Al Hisn v Khorfakkan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dibba Al Hisn EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 46%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.77/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
-65% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.1 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dibba Al Hisn vs Khorfakkan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dibba Al Hisn
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.71
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
188 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-1 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn BAE

Dibba Al Hisn 0-1 Khorfakkan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dibba Al Hisn
0-1
AWAY Khorfakkan
0.92 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
343 Passes 328
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dibba Al Hisn vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan squeezed past Dibba Al Hisn 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Khorfakkan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dibba Al Hisn had 51% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.92 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Dibba Al Hisn vs Khorfakkan?

Dibba Al Hisn 0-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dibba Al Hisn vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khorfakkan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dibba Al Hisn 38%, draw 22%, Khorfakkan 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khorfakkan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khorfakkan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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