Waasland-Beveren 3-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

Waasland-Beveren
3-0 HT 1-0
AS Eupen
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waasland-Beveren v AS Eupen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.26/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.97
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.2 Crosses 11.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AS Eupen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 2.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
193 Passes 442
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-2 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.02.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
07.11.2020 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
25.01.2020 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
10.08.2019 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
02.12.2018 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-0 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL

Waasland-Beveren 3-0 AS Eupen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3-0
AWAY AS Eupen
2.03 xG 1.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
415 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren ran out comfortable winners over AS Eupen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 63% of the ball to AS Eupen's 37%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.03 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AS Eupen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.00 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen?

Waasland-Beveren 3-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 44%, draw 25%, AS Eupen 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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