Patro Eisden 1-1 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.25/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.81
-23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +82%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
18.1 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
0W-1D-0L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.09
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 10
139 Passes 477
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-1 HT 1-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
1-1
AWAY RWDM 47
1.55 xG 0.93
36% Ball Possession 64%
23 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 13
164 Passes 386
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
39 Box Touches 29
29 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden and RWDM 47 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 36% of the ball to RWDM 47's 64%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.55 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs RWDM 47?

Patro Eisden 1-1 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 35%, draw 27%, RWDM 47 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RWDM 47) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✓ Under 2.5
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