RWDM 47 1-1 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 33%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.43/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.10
+24% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +79%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.7 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
1-1
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.09 xG 1.36
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 0
477 Passes 139
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
33 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 and Patro Eisden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was RWDM 47 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 71% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 29%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.09 to 1.36.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs Patro Eisden?

RWDM 47 1-1 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 45%, draw 27%, Patro Eisden 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RWDM 47), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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