Waasland-Beveren 2-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 31% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.26/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.24
+26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.6 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lommel United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
324 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
27.11.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-3 HT 1-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
04.09.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
19.03.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
17.12.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
24.10.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2-1
AWAY Lommel United
0.65 xG 0.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
249 Passes 495
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over Lommel United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Waasland-Beveren made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 36% of the ball to Lommel United's 64%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.65 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.33 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel United?

Waasland-Beveren 2-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 36%, draw 25%, Lommel United 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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