Hillerod 2-0 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

Hillerod
2-0 HT 1-0
Hobro IK
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hillerod vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.29
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
9%
6.33
X/X
7%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hillerod v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.25/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.22
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.2 Crosses 20.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Hillerod vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.11.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-2 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
21.07.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.11.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
04.08.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
10.04.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
11.02.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 2-2 HT 1-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1

Hillerod 2-0 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
2-0
AWAY Hobro IK
2.24 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
515 Passes 422
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod saw off Hobro IK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hillerod had 54% of the ball to Hobro IK's 46%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.24 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hillerod and 1.50 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Hobro IK?

Hillerod 2-0 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 44%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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