Bahardar 0-0 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
41%
3.18
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.3pp
41%
Draw
28%
+12.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.86/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.16
-32% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2024 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 0-2 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
0-0
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar and Shire Endaselassie fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 41% / 19% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Bahardar had 59% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 41%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie?

Bahardar 0-0 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 40%, draw 41%, Shire Endaselassie 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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