Shire Endaselassie 0-2 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shire Endaselassie
0-2
AWAY Bahardar
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shire Endaselassie vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar got the better of Shire Endaselassie 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Bahardar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shire Endaselassie had 47% of the ball to Bahardar's 53%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Shire Endaselassie vs Bahardar?

Shire Endaselassie 0-2 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shire Endaselassie vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shire Endaselassie win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shire Endaselassie 40%, draw 31%, Bahardar 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shire Endaselassie) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shire Endaselassie) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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