Welayta Dicha 1-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
67%
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
72%
-5.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
28%
+5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.20/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.76
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
1-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha and Fasil Ketema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 49% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 51%, shots finished 5-6.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?

Welayta Dicha 1-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 37%, draw 31%, Fasil Ketema 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Welayta Dicha), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
26 Nov 2024
19:00 Shire Endaselassie vs Bahardar Analysis →