AmaZulu 1-0 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.8pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -27%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.09
-2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.0 Crosses 20.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AmaZulu
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
369 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-3 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
30.04.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
19.08.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
29.01.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
05.10.2022 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AmaZulu
1-0
AWAY Richards Bay
1.03 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
368 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AmaZulu vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AmaZulu squeezed past Richards Bay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; AmaZulu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AmaZulu had 58% of the ball to Richards Bay's 42%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.03 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Richards Bay led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AmaZulu and 1.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of AmaZulu vs Richards Bay?

AmaZulu 1-0 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AmaZulu vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a AmaZulu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AmaZulu 37%, draw 31%, Richards Bay 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AmaZulu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AmaZulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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