Richards Bay 2-1 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 33%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -1%
0.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.09
-35% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.9 Crosses 19.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-2D-0L
AWAY AmaZulu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.11 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
29.01.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
05.10.2022 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-1 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
2-1
AWAY AmaZulu
1.12 xG 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
263 Passes 455
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay edged past AmaZulu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Richards Bay made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richards Bay had 38% of the ball to AmaZulu's 62%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Richards Bay had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Richards Bay and 0.33 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs AmaZulu?

Richards Bay 2-1 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richards Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 35%, draw 30%, AmaZulu 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
30 Apr 2024
20:30 Ajax Cape Town vs Polokwane City Analysis →