Ajax Cape Town 0-1 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.7pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 39%
-19% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.18/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.92
-51% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
29.1 Crosses 21.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax Cape Town
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Polokwane City
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.95 xG 2.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
434 Passes 158
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 3-1 HT 1-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAFPSL
04.02.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
07.10.2022 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF1
11.02.2015 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
28.02.2014 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax Cape Town
0-1
AWAY Polokwane City
0.26 xG 0.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
219 Passes 356
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Ajax Cape Town vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City edged past Ajax Cape Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Polokwane City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajax Cape Town had 40% of the ball to Polokwane City's 60%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.26 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajax Cape Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ajax Cape Town and 0.80 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of Ajax Cape Town vs Polokwane City?

Ajax Cape Town 0-1 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax Cape Town vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajax Cape Town 35%, draw 28%, Polokwane City 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polokwane City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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