04/04/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Naft Maysan vs Al Kahrabaa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
Over 2.5
24%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
38%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
48%
Draw
36%
22%
Away Win
30%
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
63%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Maysan v Al Kahrabaa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Maysan
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Kahrabaa
EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-44%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
8
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
199 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
390 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft Maysan vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft Maysan saw off Al Kahrabaa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was the draw at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Kahrabaa?
Naft Maysan 2-0 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Kahrabaa?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 29%, draw 48%, Al Kahrabaa 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
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4 Apr 2025