Al Karkh 1-0 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.59
Over 2.5
31%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.4pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.54
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +93%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karkh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Najaf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.02.2025 Al Najaf Al Najaf 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Karkh Al Karkh IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh squeezed past Al Najaf 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Al Karkh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Al Najaf?

Al Karkh 1-0 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 31%, draw 34%, Al Najaf 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najaf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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