Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

Ulinzi Stars
0-1 HT 0-1
Sofapaka
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.2pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulinzi Stars v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.50/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.39
-45% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +131%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sofapaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Sofapaka Sofapaka 4-1 HT 1-1 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN

Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Sofapaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0-1
AWAY Sofapaka
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka nicked a narrow win over Ulinzi Stars 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (29% / 37% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sofapaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 55% of the ball to Sofapaka's 45%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?

Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 29%, draw 37%, Sofapaka 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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