Al Qadsia 2-4 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.01
6+ Goals
8%
9.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 32% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -18%
1.58/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.12
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
15.09.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
21.05.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUVEK
07.05.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
12.03.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
02.03.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qadsia
2-4
AWAY Al Salmiyah
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah got the better of Al Qadsia 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Qadsia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Qadsia had 51% of the ball to Al Salmiyah's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Qadsia and 0.67 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Qadsia 2-4 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 51%, draw 25%, Al Salmiyah 24%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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