Metta / LU Riga 1-0 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
59%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
6%
+13.6pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.0pp
59%
Away Win
80%
-21.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 85%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.65/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.68
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
217 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
11.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.3
11.8 Crosses 27.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.28 xG 2.44
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
220 Passes 505
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
04.08.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
29.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-6 HT 0-4 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
11.11.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
27.08.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-0
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.46 xG 0.75
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
151 Passes 659
65% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 53
11 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga squeezed past Rigas Skola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Rigas Skola carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 24% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 76%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.46 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 3.50 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Rigas Skola?

Metta / LU Riga 1-0 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 19%, draw 22%, Rigas Skola 59%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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