Wadi Degla 1-0 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
3.14
No
61%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
28%
+10.7pp
61%
BTTS No
72%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.37/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.27
-18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Sporting Alexandria 0-1 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
1-0
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla nicked a narrow win over Sporting Alexandria 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 61% of the ball to Sporting Alexandria's 39%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Sporting Alexandria?

Wadi Degla 1-0 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 63%, draw 19%, Sporting Alexandria 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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