Derot 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 4 Apr 2025

Derot
1-1
Al Mokawloon
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Derot vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derot v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derot EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Derot vs Al Mokawloon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derot
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
25.11.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 3-2 Derot Derot MSR2

Derot 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derot
1-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derot vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derot and Al Mokawloon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Derot had 47% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 53%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Derot vs Al Mokawloon?

Derot 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derot vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Derot 21%, draw 29%, Al Mokawloon 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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