Al Mokawloon 3-2 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-14.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.4pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
3-2
AWAY Derot
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over Derot 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Mokawloon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 45% of the ball to Derot's 55%, shots finished 10-17.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Derot?

Al Mokawloon 3-2 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 50%, draw 30%, Derot 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mokawloon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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