Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 Aswan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.3pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+12.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.1pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Aswan FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-73% / -73% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.70
-25% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +74%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Aswan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla nicked a narrow win over Aswan FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baladiyyat Al Mehalla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Aswan FC?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 Aswan FC in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Aswan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 44%, draw 24%, Aswan FC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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