AVS 0-3 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

AVS
0-3 HT 0-2
Estoril
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.77
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
11%
6.41
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
8%
4.02
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X
11%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.33/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.82
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
11.6 Crosses 19.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estoril
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.92 xG 0.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 10
241 Passes 408
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-0 HT 0-0 AVS AVS POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
0-3
AWAY Estoril
0.56 xG 2.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AVS vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril cruised past AVS 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Estoril made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AVS had 45% of the ball to Estoril's 55%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.56 to 2.42.

What was the final score of AVS vs Estoril?

AVS 0-3 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AVS 36%, draw 27%, Estoril 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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