Estoril 0-0 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

Estoril
0-0 HT 0-0
AVS
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.66
X/2
12%
6.93
X/X
11%
4.1
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.26
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 12.95 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.24/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.69
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.4 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
0-0
AWAY AVS
0.30 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
408 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Estoril vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril and AVS fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Estoril had 61% of the ball to AVS's 39%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.30 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Estoril vs AVS?

Estoril 0-0 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estoril 43%, draw 26%, AVS 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estoril) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril) ✓ Under 2.5
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