Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

Boavista
0-2 HT 0-1
Rio Ave
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Boavista vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.34
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.92
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.3 Crosses 16.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Boavista vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.36 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
358 Passes 355
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Boavista Boavista 0-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
05.11.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
22.04.2023 Boavista Boavista 3-2 HT 3-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
06.11.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
17.10.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POK
10.04.2021 Boavista Boavista 3-3 HT 2-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR

Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-2
AWAY Rio Ave
1.45 xG 0.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
364 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave beat Boavista 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rio Ave found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boavista had 52% of the ball to Rio Ave's 48%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.48 — on chances, Boavista could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boavista and 2.00 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Rio Ave?

Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boavista 37%, draw 28%, Rio Ave 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boavista) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boavista) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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