Famalicao vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Arouca
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Arouca
POR
4-1
HT 1-1
Famalicao
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Arouca
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Arouca
POR
Famalicao 0-0 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao and Arouca fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Famalicao had 50% of the ball to Arouca's 50%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.22 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Famalicao and 1.33 for Arouca.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Arouca?
Famalicao 0-0 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 42%, draw 32%, Arouca 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Famalicao) went the other way.