Petrolul 52 2-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.32
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
0.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.44
-5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.5 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrolul 52
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sepsi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 0.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
380 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 1-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
02.11.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-1 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
08.03.2024 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 1-2 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
07.12.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 2-2 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROMK
04.11.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
11.11.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrolul 52
2-1
AWAY Sepsi
0.86 xG 1.19
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
120 Passes 316
55% Pass Accuracy 75%
6 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Petrolul 52 vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrolul 52 squeezed past Sepsi 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Petrolul 52 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrolul 52 had 33% of the ball to Sepsi's 67%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.86 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Petrolul 52 and 1.17 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Petrolul 52 vs Sepsi?

Petrolul 52 2-1 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrolul 52 vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrolul 52 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Petrolul 52 36%, draw 31%, Sepsi 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrolul 52) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrolul 52) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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