Otelul Galati 1-0 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.69/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.88
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
28.9 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 220
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2025 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 2-3 HT 2-2 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.11.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-1 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
16.03.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
11.03.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.11.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-1 HT 1-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
18.03.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
1-0
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
1.49 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
235 Passes 242
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati edged past CSMS Iaşi 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Otelul Galati as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 50% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 50%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.49 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Otelul Galati and 1.17 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Otelul Galati 1-0 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 44%, draw 28%, CSMS Iaşi 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Otelul Galati), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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