Otelul Galati 1-0 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.82
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.09/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.25
-21% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.11.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-1 HT 1-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
18.03.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
25.08.2014 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
03.12.2012 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-3 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
22.07.2012 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-2 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
1-0
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati nicked a narrow win over CSMS Iaşi 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Otelul Galati as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 37% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 63%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Otelul Galati and 1.00 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Otelul Galati 1-0 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 42%, draw 27%, CSMS Iaşi 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Otelul Galati), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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