Otelul Galati 2-3 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.89
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.56/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.83
-20% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.2 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
162 Passes 316
57% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-1 HT 0-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
16.03.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
11.03.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.11.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-1 HT 1-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
18.03.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
25.08.2014 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
2-3
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.04 xG 1.16
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
465 Passes 125
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
44 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi nicked a narrow win over Otelul Galati 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Otelul Galati at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 73% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 27%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.04 to 1.16 — on chances, Otelul Galati could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Otelul Galati and 0.67 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Otelul Galati 2-3 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Otelul Galati win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 41%, draw 31%, CSMS Iaşi 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Otelul Galati) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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