Al Jabalain 4-1 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No OUR CALL
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.56/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.30
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Al-Ain Al-Ain 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
06.05.2024 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
19.12.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
16.01.2023 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 0-2 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
18.05.2022 Al-Ain Al-Ain 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
27.12.2021 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-0 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
4-1
AWAY Al-Ain
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain swept aside Al-Ain 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Jabalain as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 51% of the ball to Al-Ain's 49%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jabalain had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Jabalain and 0.67 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al-Ain?

Al Jabalain 4-1 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 50%, draw 26%, Al-Ain 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jabalain) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jabalain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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