Al Faisaly 1-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 38%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.92/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.18
-29% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Arabi
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Arabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
23.04.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 1-0 Arabi SUUD1
06.12.2023 Arabi 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
11.04.2023 Arabi 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
09.11.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-3 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
1-1
AWAY Arabi
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly and Arabi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 64% of the ball to Arabi's 36%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arabi led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.80 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Arabi?

Al Faisaly 1-1 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 38%, draw 24%, Arabi 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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