Arabi 2-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.48/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.59
+20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Faisaly
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 1-0 Arabi SUUD1
06.12.2023 Arabi 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
11.04.2023 Arabi 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
09.11.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-3 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi edged past Al Faisaly 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arabi had 48% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 52%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Arabi and 1.50 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Faisaly?

Arabi 2-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arabi 43%, draw 27%, Al Faisaly 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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