Al Orubah 0-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.37/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.77
+20% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +101%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
13.8 Crosses 16.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Orubah
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.61 xG 1.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
389 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 4-2 HT 0-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
08.11.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
18.05.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
29.12.2021 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
0-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.63 xG 1.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
358 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 37
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud squeezed past Al Orubah 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Al Akhdoud made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Orubah had 57% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 43%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.63 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Orubah.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Orubah and 2.20 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Orubah 0-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 33%, draw 26%, Al Akhdoud 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Akhdoud), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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