Chiangrai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chiangrai United v Nong Bua Pitchaya — Team-Based Signals
Chiangrai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Chiangrai United 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Actual Match Statistics
Chiangrai United found just enough to beat Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chiangrai United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Chiangrai United had 53% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 47%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.86 to 1.27 — by the quality of chances, Nong Bua Pitchaya deserved more.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chiangrai United and 0.60 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Chiangrai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Result & Final Score
Chiangrai United 2 - 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - League 1 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chiangrai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 47%, draw 28%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chiangrai United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.