Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-2 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.59/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.38
+27% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.3 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2023 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
28.08.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-0 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
20.02.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-1 HT 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
09.10.2021 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
0-2
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.92 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
248 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United beat Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nong Bua Pitchaya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 50% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 50%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.92 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 2.00 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangrai United?

Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-2 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 41%, draw 30%, Chiangrai United 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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