Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Ratchasima v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
BG Pathum United
TAY
3-0
HT 0-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
0-0
HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima squeezed past BG Pathum United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 32% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 68%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.60 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.33 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United?
Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 26%, draw 22%, BG Pathum United 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.