Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Guangzhou E-Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou E-Power EU Bookmakers 42%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.28/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.66
-35% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +98%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
14.5 Crosses 18.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
1-0
AWAY Guangzhou E-Power
1.58 xG 0.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 12
263 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Guangzhou E-Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen edged past Guangzhou E-Power 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Guangxi Hengchen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Hengchen had 47% of the ball to Guangzhou E-Power's 53%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.58 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guangxi Hengchen's control.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Guangzhou E-Power?

Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Guangzhou E-Power in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Guangzhou E-Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou E-Power win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 33%, draw 29%, Guangzhou E-Power 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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