Shanghai Jiading 2-3 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.02/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.00
-39% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.4 Crosses 20.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Jiading
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.60 xG 0.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-0 HT 1-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
12.05.2024 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
05.08.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-1 HT 1-1 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
30.04.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
2-3
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.76 xG 1.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
146 Passes 271
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuxi Wugou edged past Shanghai Jiading 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wuxi Wugou found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shanghai Jiading had 39% of the ball to Wuxi Wugou's 61%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.10 — on chances, Shanghai Jiading could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shanghai Jiading had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Shanghai Jiading and 0.25 for Wuxi Wugou.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Wuxi Wugou?

Shanghai Jiading 2-3 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wuxi Wugou win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 37%, draw 23%, Wuxi Wugou 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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