Napoli (K) 4-1 Genoa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.27/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
14.8 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Genoa (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
283 Passes 197
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
38 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Genoa (K) Genoa (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
4-1
AWAY Genoa (K)
1.95 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 8
310 Passes 180
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Genoa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) ran out comfortable winners over Genoa (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napoli (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 58% of the ball to Genoa (K)'s 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Napoli (K) 4-1 Genoa (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 56%, draw 21%, Genoa (K) 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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