Erzgebirge Aue 3-5 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Apr 2026

Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 5 HT 1 - 4
Hoffenheim II
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.38
Over Pick
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.45
No
38%
2.56
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.83
2-3
42%
1.92
4-5
30%
2.66
6+
11%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.27
1/2
3%
24.35
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.77
X/2
12%
6.27
X/X
13%
5.65
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
22%
3.71
2/X
5%
12.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Erzgebirge Aue v Hoffenheim II — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzgebirge Aue The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
1.53 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3

Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
372 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3

Erzgebirge Aue 3-5 Hoffenheim II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 5
AWAY Hoffenheim II
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 3
244 Passes 598
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hoffenheim II took care of Erzgebirge Aue 5-3 on their travels. Half-time: 1-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hoffenheim II found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came home.

Under the surface, Hoffenheim II saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 6-20.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II Result & Final Score

Erzgebirge Aue 3 - 5 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 39%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 37%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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