Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Apr 2026

Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over
54%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.58
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.15
6+
6%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.76
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
16%
4.92
2/1
3%
23.5
2/2
14%
5.1
2/X
5%
13.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Rot-Weiss Essen v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
431 Passes 206
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.10.2025 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
07.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-1 HT 1-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
28.10.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
05.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
05.08.2022 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
20.05.2007 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 MSV Duisburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 0
AWAY MSV Duisburg
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
245 Passes 217
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rot-Weiss Essen shaded a tight game against MSV Duisburg 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Rot-Weiss Essen had 53% of the ball to MSV Duisburg's 47%, shots finished 23-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.50 for MSV Duisburg.

Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg Result & Final Score

Rot-Weiss Essen 1 - 0 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 47%, draw 27%, MSV Duisburg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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