Rödinghausen 1-1 Velbert — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Velbert EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.19
-21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Velbert
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.10.2025 Velbert Velbert 2-3 HT 2-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
12.04.2024 Velbert Velbert 0-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-1 HT 2-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
08.08.2015 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-1 HT 1-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Velbert
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen and Velbert shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Rödinghausen carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Rödinghausen and 1.00 for Velbert.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Velbert?

Rödinghausen 1-1 Velbert in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Velbert?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 56%, draw 23%, Velbert 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rödinghausen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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