Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.02/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.68
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
27.04.2025 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-1 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
01.11.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 HT 1-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-3 HT 0-2 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
09.04.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena nicked a narrow win over Luckenwalde 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carl Zeiss Jena as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.50 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde?

Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 62%, draw 22%, Luckenwalde 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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