Luckenwalde 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.12/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.76
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-1 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
01.11.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 HT 1-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-3 HT 0-2 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
09.04.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde and Carl Zeiss Jena shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Luckenwalde and 2.17 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Luckenwalde 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 18%, draw 32%, Carl Zeiss Jena 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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