Phönix Lübeck 2-0 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +22%
1.94/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.40
+14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 2-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
24.02.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-4 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-4 HT 1-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck saw off Lübeck 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Phönix Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 2.33 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck?

Phönix Lübeck 2-0 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 38%, draw 21%, Lübeck 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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