Lübeck 2-2 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.08/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.59
-36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
24.02.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-4 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-4 HT 1-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and Phönix Lübeck couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Lübeck and 1.00 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

Lübeck 2-2 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 39%, draw 25%, Phönix Lübeck 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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