Weiche Flensburg 3-3 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.86/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.56
-37% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 4-1 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
28.02.2020 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg and Werder Bremen II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.67 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Weiche Flensburg 3-3 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 28%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen II 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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