Werder Bremen II 4-1 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
2.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.28
+42% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.03.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
28.02.2020 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
26.04.2015 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II swept aside Weiche Flensburg 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Werder Bremen II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Werder Bremen II and 0.50 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Werder Bremen II 4-1 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 41%, draw 23%, Weiche Flensburg 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5
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