VFC Plauen 2-0 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.33
Over 2.5
63%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.97/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.56
+73% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +80%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH VFC Plauen vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VFC Plauen got the better of Greifswalder SV 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Greifswalder SV at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of VFC Plauen vs Greifswalder SV?

VFC Plauen 2-0 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VFC Plauen vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split VFC Plauen 22%, draw 20%, Greifswalder SV 58%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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