Bayreuth 3-2 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +81% / +81%
2.10/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/2.00
-3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth edged past Schwaben Augsburg 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Bayreuth 3-2 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 57%, draw 23%, Schwaben Augsburg 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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